Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia M'gladbach II: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - WestWest - 10Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, Lotte
The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sportfreunde Lotte. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Sportfreunde Lotte (1,869) and Borussia M'gladbach II (1,946).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sportfreunde Lotte have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Borussia M'gladbach II have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Bochum II(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Bonner SC(away) | 2-2 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rot-weiss Oberhausen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Gutersloh(home) | 0-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Real Betis(home) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Sportfreunde Siegen(away) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Bocholt(home) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Paderborn II(away) | 3-1 | Regionalliga - West |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SV Rodinghausen(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - West |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Fortuna Köln(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Sportfreunde Lotte win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Borussia M'gladbach II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Borussia M'gladbach II 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 0-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| May 3, 2025 | Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Borussia M'gladbach II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
| Mar 19, 2022 | Sportfreunde Lotte 2-0 Borussia M'gladbach II | Regionalliga - West |
| Oct 9, 2021 | Borussia M'gladbach II 3-0 Sportfreunde Lotte | Regionalliga - West |
Last archived meeting: Borussia M'gladbach II vs Sportfreunde Lotte on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sportfreunde Lotte score 1.0 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Borussia M'gladbach II score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sportfreunde Lotte | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Borussia M'gladbach II | 1.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sportfreunde Lotte sit 16th in Regionalliga - West (2 points from 4 matches) and Borussia M'gladbach II sit 2nd (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Borussia M'gladbach II | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 |
| 16 | Sportfreunde Lotte | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia M'gladbach II?
- The Footlab model makes Borussia M'gladbach II the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Sportfreunde Lotte.
- Where and when is Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia M'gladbach II played?
- Sportfreunde Lotte vs Borussia M'gladbach II is played on September 26, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion am Lotter Kreuz, in the Regionalliga - West.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026SG Wattenscheid 09vsBonner SC
- Sep 26, 2026Rot-weiss OberhausenvsSV Rodinghausen
- Sep 26, 2026Bergisch GladbachvsWestfalia Rhynern
- Sep 26, 2026Borussia Dortmund IIvsFC Bocholt
- Sep 26, 2026Köln IIvsHilden
- Sep 26, 2026WiedenbrückvsSportfreunde Siegen
- Sep 26, 2026FC GuterslohvsPaderborn II
- Sep 26, 2026Bochum IIvsSchalke 04 II