Sporting Cristal vs Penarol: result 1-3 and analysis
CONMEBOL SudamericanaQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 11, 2021 at 10:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Nacional de Lima, Lima
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What was the result of Sporting Cristal vs Penarol?
Penarol won 1-3 on August 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 8′A. ÁlvarezPenarol
- 19′F. TorresPenarol
- 90′O. MerloSporting Cristal
- 90′W. GarganoPenarol
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting Cristal have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Penarol have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2021 | Sport Huancayo(away) | 2-1 | Primera División |
| Aug 4, 2021 | Universitario(home) | 2-2 | Primera División |
| Jul 30, 2021 | Deportivo Municipal(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Jul 28, 2021 | Carlos A. Mannucci(away) | 2-1 | Copa Bicentenario |
| Jul 21, 2021 | Arsenal Sarandi(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 6, 2021 | Cerro Largo(away) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Aug 1, 2021 | CA River Plate(home) | 2-0 | Primera División |
| Jul 25, 2021 | Liverpool Montevideo(away) | 3-3 | Primera División |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Jul 16, 2021 | Club Nacional(away) | 2-1 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting Cristal score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Penarol score 1.5 and concede 0.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting Cristal | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Penarol | 1.5 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy