Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála: prediction and stats
GirabolaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Municipal do Tafe, Cabinda
The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sporting de Cabinda. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála?
Recreativo da Caála starts as the favourite with a 205-point Elo edge (1,656 vs 1,451).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sporting de Cabinda have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Recreativo da Caála have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recreativo do Libolo(home) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| May 25, 2024 | Interclube(home) | 0-1 | Girabola |
| May 18, 2024 | Recreativo do Libolo(away) | 2-4 | Girabola |
| May 11, 2024 | CD Lunda-Sul(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
| May 8, 2024 | Petro de Luanda(away) | 0-3 | Girabola |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FC Luanda(away) | 0-0 | Girabola |
| May 29, 2022 | Académica do Lobito(home) | 1-0 | Girabola |
| May 23, 2022 | Sagrada Esperança(away) | 1-1 | Girabola |
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda(away) | 1-2 | Girabola |
| May 1, 2022 | Desportivo Huíla(home) | 2-1 | Girabola |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sporting de Cabinda win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Recreativo da Caála win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2022 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Dec 18, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 2-0 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Sporting de Cabinda 0-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Recreativo da Caála 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
| Oct 26, 2019 | Sporting de Cabinda 2-1 Recreativo da Caála | Girabola |
| Apr 3, 2019 | Recreativo da Caála 1-1 Sporting de Cabinda | Girabola |
Last archived meeting: Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála on May 7, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Sporting de Cabinda score 0.9 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recreativo da Caála score 0.8 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sporting de Cabinda | 0.9 | 2.3 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Recreativo da Caála | 0.8 | 0.7 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sporting de Cabinda sit 16th in Girabola (0 points from 1 matches) and Recreativo da Caála sit 9th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recreativo da Caála | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Sporting de Cabinda | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála?
- The Footlab model makes Recreativo da Caála the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Sporting de Cabinda.
- Where and when is Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála played?
- Sporting de Cabinda vs Recreativo da Caála is played on December 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Municipal do Tafe, in the Girabola.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.