Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 14Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Klein Arena, Sprockhövel
The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Erkenschwick. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Sprockhovel (1,645) and Erkenschwick (1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sprockhovel have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Erkenschwick have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Gievenbeck(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ennepetal(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 9, 2026 | TuS Hordel(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 31, 2026 | Vreden(away) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | SG Wattenscheid 09(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sprockhovel win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Erkenschwick win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | Sprockhovel 1-2 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Sep 12, 2025 | Erkenschwick 2-1 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Apr 1, 2024 | Erkenschwick 3-0 Sprockhovel | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Sprockhovel 2-3 Erkenschwick | Oberliga - Westfalen |
Last archived meeting: Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick on Mar 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Erkenschwick score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Erkenschwick | 0.9 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sprockhovel sit 6th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and Erkenschwick sit 3rd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Erkenschwick | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick?
- The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Erkenschwick.
- Where and when is Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick played?
- Sprockhovel vs Erkenschwick is played on November 15, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Klein Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026Eintracht RheinevsGievenbeck
- Nov 15, 2026VredenvsPreußen Münster II
- Nov 15, 2026HiltrupvsArminia II
- Nov 15, 2026SchermbeckvsEnnepetal
- Nov 15, 2026SpVgg Herne HorsthausenvsWestfalia Kinderhaus
- Nov 15, 2026ASC DortmundvsVictoria Clarholz
- Nov 15, 2026Lippstadt 08vsTuS Hordel
- Nov 15, 2026Verl IIvsMaaslingen