Sprockhovel vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen: prediction and stats
Oberliga - WestfalenWestfalen - 23Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Klein Arena, Sprockhövel
The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for SpVgg Herne Horsthausen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sprockhovel vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Sprockhovel (1,646) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sprockhovel have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen have 1, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hiltrup(home) | 7-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Verl II(away) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Arminia II(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 25, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 0-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| May 10, 2026 | Gievenbeck(home) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | ASC Dortmund(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Hiltrup(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Westfalen |
How many goals should we expect?
Sprockhovel score 1.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; SpVgg Herne Horsthausen score 2.0 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sprockhovel | 1.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1 | 1/2 | 2/2 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sprockhovel sit 6th in Oberliga - Westfalen (4 points from 3 matches) and SpVgg Herne Horsthausen sit 11th (3 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sprockhovel | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
| 11 | SpVgg Herne Horsthausen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sprockhovel vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen?
- The Footlab model makes Sprockhovel the favourite at 44%, against 23% for a draw and 33% for SpVgg Herne Horsthausen.
- Where and when is Sprockhovel vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen played?
- Sprockhovel vs SpVgg Herne Horsthausen is played on March 21, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Klein Arena, in the Oberliga - Westfalen.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.