Sri Lanka vs Bhutan: prediction and stats
SAFF ChampionshipGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Race Course International Stadium, Colombo
The Footlab AI model makes Sri Lanka the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bhutan. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sri Lanka wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,521 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sri Lanka vs Bhutan?
Sri Lanka starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,327 vs 1,210).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sri Lanka vs Bhutan
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sri Lanka
4-3-3- 10D. De Silva
- 21A. Rajamohan
- 7W. Dekker
- 6G. Kelly
- 12L. Perera
- 17N. Senthurvasan
- 4W. Thomason
- 11Samuel Durrant
- 15C. Kammerknecht
- 3Z. Addis
- 1Weerasinghe Sinnath Thommelage Don Sujan Perera
Bhutan
3-4-3- 15Nima Wangdi
- 11Kinga Wangchuk
- 9K. Tenzin
- 10O. Tshering
- 14D. Tshering
- 7C. Gyeltshen
- 8P. Zangpo
- 4T. Norbu
- 2Y. Gyeltshen
- 6Sherub Dorji
- 21T. Dendup
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 08:22 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sri Lanka have 9 wins, 1 draw and 5 defeats; Bhutan have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5, 2026 | Mauritius(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Mauritius(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Seychelles(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Seychelles(away) | 3-0 | Friendlies |
| Jun 8, 2026 | Bhutan(home) | 4-1 | Friendlies |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Sri Lanka(away) | 1-4 | Friendlies |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Cambodia(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Yemen(away) | 1-7 | Asian Cup - Qualification |
| Nov 13, 2025 | India(away) | 1-6 | Friendlies |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Sri Lanka wins, 0 draws, 2 Bhutan wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 8, 2026 | Sri Lanka 4-1 Bhutan | Friendlies |
| Mar 25, 2024 | Sri Lanka 2-0 Bhutan | Friendlies |
| Mar 17, 2015 | Bhutan 2-1 Sri Lanka | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Mar 12, 2015 | Sri Lanka 0-1 Bhutan | World Cup - Qualification Asia |
| Sep 6, 2013 | Sri Lanka 5-2 Bhutan | SAFF Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Sri Lanka score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bhutan score 0.6 and concede 2.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sri Lanka | 1.6 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Bhutan | 0.6 | 2.7 | 3 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about Sri Lanka vs Bhutan?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sri Lanka vs Bhutan?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sri Lanka the favourite at 59%, against 23% for a draw and 18% for Bhutan.
- Where and when is Sri Lanka vs Bhutan played?
- Sri Lanka vs Bhutan is played on November 8, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Race Course International Stadium, in the SAFF Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.