SS Monopoli vs Bari: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Bari. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Bari?
A very open match: only 20 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,790) and Bari (1,810).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Bari have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Team Altamura(away) | 0-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Audace Cerignola(away) | 1-1 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Lecce(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 0-2 | Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Potenza(away) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Cavese(home) | 3-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Casarano(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie C |
| May 22, 2026 | Sudtirol(away) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 15, 2026 | Sudtirol(home) | 0-0 | Serie B |
| May 8, 2026 | Catanzaro(away) | 3-2 | Serie B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SS Monopoli win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Bari win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | SS Monopoli 0-0 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Bari 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 17, 2021 | Bari 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 21, 2020 | SS Monopoli 0-0 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 9, 2020 | SS Monopoli 2-2 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Bari 1-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.8 | 1.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Bari | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 17th in Serie C - Girone C (0 points from 1 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 17 | SS Monopoli | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Bari?
- The Footlab model makes SS Monopoli the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Bari.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Bari played?
- SS Monopoli vs Bari is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.