SS Monopoli vs Bari: prediction and stats
Serie C - Girone CGirone C - 37Kick-off on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, Monopoli
The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for SS Monopoli. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bari wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,402 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SS Monopoli vs Bari?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate SS Monopoli (1,735) and Bari (1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for SS Monopoli vs Bari
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
SS Monopoli
3-4-2-1- 10M. Fall
- 8C. Battocchio
- 15J. Greco
- 19R. Calcagni
- 18S. Paukstys
- 72A. Cortinovis
- 60F. Gioielli
- 16B. Valenti
- 33E. Olivieri
- 6S. Piccinini
- 22M. Tommasi
Bari
4-3-1-2- 7K. Butić
- 24F. Bianchi
- 25G. Maggiore
- 5E. Darboe
- 21M. Della Morte
- 11A. Tribuzzi
- 79M. Elia
- 6V. Mogoș
- 72N. Cocetta
- 14M. Anzolin
- 31M. Cerofolini
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 03:39 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SS Monopoli have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Bari have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Casertana(away) | 1-3 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Savoia(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Casarano(away) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Crotone(home) | 2-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Scafatese(away) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Giugliano(home) | 2-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Salernitana(away) | 1-2 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cosenza(home) | 1-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sorrento(away) | 2-1 | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Potenza(home) | 0-0 | Serie C - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 SS Monopoli wins, 4 draws, 2 Bari wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | SS Monopoli 0-0 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 3, 2021 | Bari 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 17, 2021 | Bari 1-0 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
| Oct 21, 2020 | SS Monopoli 0-0 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Feb 9, 2020 | SS Monopoli 2-2 Bari | Serie C - Girone C |
| Sep 25, 2019 | Bari 1-1 SS Monopoli | Serie C - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
SS Monopoli score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bari score 1.3 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SS Monopoli | 0.8 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 3/15 |
| Bari | 1.3 | 0.6 | 10 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SS Monopoli sit 12th in Serie C - Girone C (12 points from 9 matches) and Bari sit 2nd (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bari | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 | SS Monopoli | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12 |
A question about SS Monopoli vs Bari?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SS Monopoli vs Bari?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bari the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for SS Monopoli.
- Where and when is SS Monopoli vs Bari played?
- SS Monopoli vs Bari is played on April 18, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Vito Simone Veneziani, in the Serie C - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.