SSV Merten vs Porz: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 26Kick-off on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, Bornheim
The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Porz. The most likely score is 4-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win SSV Merten vs Porz?
SSV Merten is a heavy favourite: 1,945 Elo points against 1,604 — a 340-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, SSV Merten have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Porz have 2, 2 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Teutonia Weiden(away) | 10-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | Porz(home) | 8-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Wegberg-Beeck(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Bergisch Gladbach(away) | 0-10 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Frechen(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten(away) | 3-8 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Hennef 05(home) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 4 SSV Merten win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Porz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 22, 2026 | SSV Merten 8-3 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Nov 30, 2025 | Porz 0-3 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Porz 1-4 SSV Merten | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 6, 2024 | SSV Merten 6-3 Porz | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
How many goals should we expect?
SSV Merten score 3.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Porz score 1.7 and concede 4.1. The model gives a 90% probability of over 2.5 goals and 70% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SSV Merten | 3.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Porz | 1.7 | 4.1 | 1 | 13/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
SSV Merten sit 4th in Oberliga - Mittelrhein (60 points from 30 matches) and Porz sit 13th (25 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | SSV Merten | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 80 | 28 | 60 |
| 13 | Porz | 30 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 58 | 99 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for SSV Merten vs Porz?
- The Footlab model makes SSV Merten the favourite at 85%, against 9% for a draw and 6% for Porz.
- Where and when is SSV Merten vs Porz played?
- SSV Merten vs Porz is played on May 9, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at MerKur Kunstrasenplatz, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 90% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.