St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF: prediction and stats
Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Complexe Sportif Des Chevrets 3, Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu
The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for St-Philbert Gd Lieu. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 4,847 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF?
La Roche VF is a heavy favourite: 2,006 Elo points against 1,658, a 348-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St-Philbert Gd Lieu
4-3-3- 9A. Hammoudi
- 11D. Blanquet
- 7Y. Oumar Hima Souley
- 6J. Olmos
- 2M. Corduan
- 10M. Bochereau
- 5A. Robin
- 3A. Freuchet
- 4T. Kamano
- 7M. Ernot
- 1I. Faouaid
La Roche VF
4-2-3-1- 9M. M. Samb
- 26J. Beaulieu
- 2M. Mahop
- 20Alexis Araújo
- 10M. Ndiaye
- 17M. Vrignon
- 18M. Rabuel
- 29G. Violleau
- 5T. Allemand
- 27H. Lamy
- 1I. Ahamada
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 02:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St-Philbert Gd Lieu have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; La Roche VF have 10, 4 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Les Sables(away) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Challans(home) | 1-3 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Chauvigny(away) | 2-2 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Panazol(home) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 11, 2026 | La Châtaigneraie(away) | 0-1 | National 3 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bourg-en-bresse 01(home) | 2-0 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Caen(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 3 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aubagne(home) | 3-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Thionville Lusitanos(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Valenciennes(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 St-Philbert Gd Lieu win, 0 draws, 1 La Roche VF win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2023 | St-Philbert Gd Lieu 3-2 La Roche VF | National 3 - Group B |
| Sep 3, 2022 | La Roche VF 2-1 St-Philbert Gd Lieu | National 3 - Group B |
Last archived meeting: St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF on Feb 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
St-Philbert Gd Lieu score 1.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; La Roche VF score 1.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St-Philbert Gd Lieu | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| La Roche VF | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
A question about St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF?
- The Footlab AI model makes La Roche VF the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for St-Philbert Gd Lieu.
- Where and when is St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF played?
- St-Philbert Gd Lieu vs La Roche VF is played on November 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Complexe Sportif Des Chevrets 3, in the Coupe de France.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.