Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage: prediction and stats
Second Amateur Division - ACFFACFF - 18Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Le Canonnier, Mouscron (Moeskron)
The Footlab AI model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Stade Mouscronnois. The most likely score is 1-1. If SG-Tertre-Hautrage wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,487 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 12, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Stade Mouscronnois (1,974) and SG-Tertre-Hautrage (2,047).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Stade Mouscronnois
Not enough data to predict the Stade Mouscronnois lineup.
SG-Tertre-Hautrage
Not enough data to predict the SG-Tertre-Hautrage lineup.
Computed on November 12, 2026 at 05:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Mouscronnois have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; SG-Tertre-Hautrage have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(away) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Stade Verviers(home) | 2-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Huy(away) | 1-6 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Richelle United(home) | 6-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Ganshoren(away) | 2-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Jette(away) | 2-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Nov 1, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 1-1 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Braine(away) | 6-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 3-0 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stade Verviers(away) | 4-2 | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Stade Mouscronnois wins, 0 draws, 1 SG-Tertre-Hautrage win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage 2-0 Stade Mouscronnois | Second Amateur Division - ACFF |
Last archived meeting: SG-Tertre-Hautrage vs Stade Mouscronnois on Aug 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stade Mouscronnois score 2.4 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; SG-Tertre-Hautrage score 2.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 63% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Mouscronnois | 2.4 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 2.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stade Mouscronnois sit 4th in Second Amateur Division - ACFF (21 points from 12 matches) and SG-Tertre-Hautrage sit 2nd (24 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SG-Tertre-Hautrage | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Stade Mouscronnois | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 21 |
A question about Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage?
- The Footlab AI model makes SG-Tertre-Hautrage the favourite at 41%, against 25% for a draw and 34% for Stade Mouscronnois.
- Where and when is Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage played?
- Stade Mouscronnois vs SG-Tertre-Hautrage is played on December 19, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Le Canonnier, in the Second Amateur Division - ACFF.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.