Match

Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec: prediction and stats

Coupe de France1/128-finalsKick-off on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, Pontivy

Stade PontivyStade Plabennec

The Footlab AI model makes Stade Plabennec the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stade Pontivy. The most likely score is 1-1. If Stade Plabennec wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,444 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec?

On Elo ratings, Stade Pontivy has 1,566 points and Stade Plabennec 1,601.

22%23%55%
Stade Pontivy winDrawStade Plabennec win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Stade Pontivy

4-3-3
  1. 9A. Derennes
  2. 10M. Beaugendre
  3. 8C. Haguet
  1. 11B. Guyomard
  2. 2T. Le Floch
  3. 7Y. Guezello
  1. 3M. Le Sourne
  2. 5M. Derrien
  3. 13B. Razer
  4. 6M. Le Guevel
  1. 1R. Bouallak

Stade Plabennec

4-3-3
  1. 7N. Pellen
  2. 9N. Madec
  3. 10Y. Kujabi
  1. 6M. Zeggai
  2. 2C. Gilles
  3. 12Alex Noah Abogo
  1. 5J. Pinvidic
  2. 8Victor Gaulmin
  3. 3T. Le Goff
  4. 4F. Menn
  1. 1A. Laurent

Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:59 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stade Pontivy have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Stade Plabennec have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stade Pontivy
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 18, 2024CPBB Rennes(home)3-1National 3 - Group E
May 11, 2024Vannes(away)2-2National 3 - Group E
Apr 27, 2024Rennes II(home)0-1National 3 - Group E
Apr 20, 2024Lannion(home)0-2National 3 - Group E
Apr 13, 2024Stade Briochin II(away)1-2National 3 - Group E
Stade Plabennec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 29, 2025Les Herbiers(home)1-2Coupe de France
Nov 16, 2025Plédran(away)2-0Coupe de France
May 17, 2025Lannion(home)1-1National 3 - Group C
May 10, 2025Rennes II(away)0-2National 3 - Group C
Apr 26, 2025Saint-Pierre Milizac(home)0-1National 3 - Group C

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stade Pontivy wins, 1 draw, 2 Stade Plabennec wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 20, 2024Stade Plabennec 5-3 Stade PontivyNational 3 - Group E
Sep 2, 2023Stade Pontivy 2-2 Stade PlabennecNational 3 - Group E
Nov 30, 2019Stade Pontivy 1-3 Stade PlabennecNational 3 - Group K

Last archived meeting: Stade Plabennec vs Stade Pontivy on Jan 20, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Stade Pontivy score 1.6 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Plabennec score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stade Pontivy1.62.6110/1511/15
Stade Plabennec1.01.538/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

A question about Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec?
The Footlab AI model makes Stade Plabennec the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Stade Pontivy.
Where and when is Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec played?
Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec is played on November 14, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Faubourg de Verdun, in the Coupe de France.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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