Stal Brzeg vs Zagłębie Lubin II: prediction and stats
III Liga - Group 3Group III - 15Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion MOSiR, Brzeg
The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Zagłębie Lubin II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Brzeg vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Zagłębie Lubin II starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (1,774 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Brzeg have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Zagłębie Lubin II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 3-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-3 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Ślęza Wrocław(home) | 5-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Goczałkowice Zdrój(home) | 1-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Miedź Legnica II(home) | 3-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Kluczbork(away) | 3-1 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Rakow II(home) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Polonia Nysa(away) | 2-2 | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sparta Katowice(home) | 1-0 | III Liga - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Stal Brzeg win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Zagłębie Lubin II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 2022 | Zagłębie Lubin II 3-2 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Stal Brzeg 1-2 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Jun 12, 2021 | Zagłębie Lubin II 1-0 Stal Brzeg | III Liga - Group 3 |
| Feb 6, 2021 | Zagłębie Lubin II 2-1 Stal Brzeg | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 21, 2020 | Stal Brzeg 1-0 Zagłębie Lubin II | III Liga - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Zagłębie Lubin II vs Stal Brzeg on Jun 10, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Brzeg score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Zagłębie Lubin II score 1.7 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Brzeg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Zagłębie Lubin II | 1.7 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Brzeg sit 7th in III Liga - Group 3 (8 points from 5 matches) and Zagłębie Lubin II sit 2nd (11 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Zagłębie Lubin II | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 7 | 11 |
| 7 | Stal Brzeg | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Brzeg vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
- The Footlab model makes Stal Brzeg the favourite at 44%, against 24% for a draw and 32% for Zagłębie Lubin II.
- Where and when is Stal Brzeg vs Zagłębie Lubin II played?
- Stal Brzeg vs Zagłębie Lubin II is played on October 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion MOSiR, in the III Liga - Group 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 31, 2026SKRA CzęstochowavsCarina Gubin
- Oct 31, 2026Stilon GorzówvsZaglebie Sosnowiec
- Oct 31, 2026KluczborkvsKarkonosze Jelenia Góra
- Oct 31, 2026Miedź Legnica IIvsWarta Gorzów
- Oct 31, 2026Ślęza WrocławvsGórnik Polkowice
- Oct 31, 2026Goczałkowice ZdrójvsOdra Bytom Odrzański
- Oct 31, 2026Sparta KatowicevsBarycz Sułów
- Oct 31, 2026SłowianinvsROW Rybnik