Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz: prediction and stats
II Liga - EastRegular Season - 13Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, Stalowa Wola
The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stal Stalowa Wola. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Stal Stalowa Wola (1,819) and Sandecja Nowy Sącz (1,918).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stal Stalowa Wola have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Sandecja Nowy Sącz have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(away) | 0-2 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(home) | 4-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(away) | 1-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Śląsk Wrocław II(away) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Tychy 71(home) | 1-2 | II Liga - East |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Górnik Łęczna(home) | 1-1 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Świt Skolwin(away) | 1-0 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Avia Świdnik(away) | 0-3 | II Liga - East |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Rekord Bielsko-Biała(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chojniczanka Chojnice(home) | 3-0 | II Liga - East |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Stal Stalowa Wola win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Stal Stalowa Wola 0-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | II Liga - East |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2-3 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-0 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Sandecja Nowy Sącz | II Liga - East |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz 2-0 Stal Stalowa Wola | II Liga - East |
Last archived meeting: Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stal Stalowa Wola score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sandecja Nowy Sącz score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stal Stalowa Wola | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 1.5 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stal Stalowa Wola sit 12th in II Liga - East (6 points from 5 matches) and Sandecja Nowy Sącz sit 6th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Sandecja Nowy Sącz | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Stal Stalowa Wola | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz?
- The Footlab model makes Sandecja Nowy Sącz the favourite at 42%, against 27% for a draw and 31% for Stal Stalowa Wola.
- Where and when is Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz played?
- Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sącz is played on October 24, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Podkarpackie Centrum Piłki Nożnej, in the II Liga - East.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Chojniczanka ChojnicevsLegia Warszawa II
- Oct 24, 2026Tychy 71vsPodhale Nowy Targ
- Oct 24, 2026Olimpia GrudziądzvsHutnik Kraków
- Oct 24, 2026Rekord Bielsko-BiałavsResovia Rzeszów
- Oct 24, 2026Zawisza BydgoszczvsŚwit Skolwin
- Oct 24, 2026Lechia Zielona GóravsGórnik Łęczna
- Oct 24, 2026Sokół KleczewvsŚląsk Wrocław II
- Oct 24, 2026Avia ŚwidnikvsZnicz Pruszków