Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve: prediction and stats
First Amateur DivisionACFF - 17Kick-off on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Standard Liège II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
Habay-la-Neuve starts as the favourite with a 182-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Standard Liège II have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Habay-la-Neuve have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Crossing Schaerbeek(home) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Sporting Charleroi II(away) | 2-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Union Saint-Gilloise II(away) | 1-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Stockay-Warfusée(home) | 3-0 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Union Namur(home) | 3-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| May 3, 2026 | Albert Quévy-Mons(home) | 0-1 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Rochefort(away) | 1-4 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tubize(away) | 0-2 | First Amateur Division |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Meux(home) | 1-2 | First Amateur Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Standard Liège II win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Habay-la-Neuve win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Standard Liège II 2-2 Habay-la-Neuve | First Amateur Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Habay-la-Neuve 3-3 Standard Liège II | First Amateur Division |
Last archived meeting: Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve on Jan 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Standard Liège II score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Habay-la-Neuve score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard Liège II | 1.2 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Habay-la-Neuve | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Standard Liège II sit 15th in First Amateur Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Habay-la-Neuve sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Habay-la-Neuve | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 | Standard Liège II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve?
- The Footlab model makes Habay-la-Neuve the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Standard Liège II.
- Where and when is Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve played?
- Standard Liège II vs Habay-la-Neuve is played on December 13, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the First Amateur Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.