Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa: prediction and stats
Liga IIRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, Ştefăneştii de Sus
The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gloria Bistriţa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Ştefăneşti (1,579) and Gloria Bistriţa (1,643).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ştefăneşti have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gloria Bistriţa have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cetatea Suceava(home) | 3-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 15, 2026 | CSM Reşiţa(away) | 0-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Tunari(away) | 1-2 | Cupa României |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dumbrăviţa(home) | 1-0 | Liga II |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Bacau(away) | 0-3 | Liga II |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ASA Targu Mures(away) | 0-1 | Liga II |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Metalul Buzău(home) | 0-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 1-2 | Liga II |
| Aug 12, 2026 | SCM Zalău(away) | 1-0 | Cupa României |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Unirea Slobozia(away) | 3-0 | Liga II |
How many goals should we expect?
Ştefăneşti score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Bistriţa score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ştefăneşti | 1.7 | 1.0 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Gloria Bistriţa | 1.3 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ştefăneşti sit 11th in Liga II (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloria Bistriţa sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Gloria Bistriţa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 11 | Ştefăneşti | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
- The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gloria Bistriţa.
- Where and when is Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa played?
- Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, in the Liga II.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Sep 5, 2026ConcordiavsCS Afumati
- Sep 5, 2026ASA Targu MuresvsMetaloglobus
- Sep 5, 2026CSM Ramnicu ValceavsCSM Reşiţa
- Sep 5, 2026Popești-LeordenivsBihor Oradea
- Sep 5, 2026SlatinavsChindia Targoviste
- Sep 5, 2026Unirea SloboziavsCS Dinamo București
- Sep 5, 2026Viitorul ŞelimbărvsMetalul Buzău