Match

Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa: prediction and stats

Liga IIRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC)Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, Ştefăneştii de Sus

ŞtefăneştiGloria Bistriţa

The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gloria Bistriţa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa?

A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Ştefăneşti (1,579) and Gloria Bistriţa (1,643).

Ştefăneşti win40 %
Draw27 %
Gloria Bistriţa win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ştefăneşti have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Gloria Bistriţa have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ştefăneşti
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Cetatea Suceava(home)3-1Liga II
Aug 15, 2026CSM Reşiţa(away)0-2Liga II
Aug 12, 2026Tunari(away)1-2Cupa României
Aug 8, 2026Dumbrăviţa(home)1-0Liga II
Aug 1, 2026FC Bacau(away)0-3Liga II
Gloria Bistriţa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026ASA Targu Mures(away)0-1Liga II
Aug 19, 2026Metalul Buzău(home)0-0Cupa României
Aug 15, 2026Concordia(home)1-2Liga II
Aug 12, 2026SCM Zalău(away)1-0Cupa României
Aug 7, 2026Unirea Slobozia(away)3-0Liga II

How many goals should we expect?

Ştefăneşti score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Gloria Bistriţa score 1.3 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ştefăneşti1.71.066/158/15
Gloria Bistriţa1.30.875/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ştefăneşti sit 11th in Liga II (6 points from 4 matches) and Gloria Bistriţa sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Gloria Bistriţa4202646
11Ştefăneşti4202466

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa?
The Footlab model makes Ştefăneşti the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Gloria Bistriţa.
Where and when is Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa played?
Ştefăneşti vs Gloria Bistriţa is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 AM (UTC) at Stadionul Dumitru Mătărău, in the Liga II.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ştefăneşti and Gloria Bistriţa

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