Stevenage vs Fulham U21: prediction and stats
EFL TrophyGroup South - 2Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)The Lamex Stadium, Stevenage, Hertfordshire
The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fulham U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Stevenage (1,837) and Fulham U21 (1,884).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stevenage have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Fulham U21 have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Burton Albion(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Burnley U21(home) | 4-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Aldershot Town(away) | 2-2 | National League Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Cardiff City U21(away) | 4-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | West Ham United U21(home) | 1-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Apr 10, 2026 | Chelsea U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Stevenage win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Fulham U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 2019 | Stevenage 1-1 Fulham U21 | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Stevenage vs Fulham U21 on Oct 29, 2019
How many goals should we expect?
Stevenage score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stevenage | 0.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Fulham U21 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 3 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stevenage sit 1st in EFL Trophy (9 points from 3 matches) and Fulham U21 sit 4th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stevenage vs Fulham U21?
- The Footlab model makes Stevenage the favourite at 43%, against 24% for a draw and 33% for Fulham U21.
- Where and when is Stevenage vs Fulham U21 played?
- Stevenage vs Fulham U21 is played on September 2, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at The Lamex Stadium, in the EFL Trophy.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.