Match

Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Stoke City U21Burnley U21

The Footlab model makes Burnley U21 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?

A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Stoke City U21 (1,638) and Burnley U21 (1,735).

Stoke City U21 win37 %
Draw23 %
Burnley U21 win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City U21 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Burnley U21 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brentford U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe(away)0-4National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Leeds United U21(home)0-0Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026Chester(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Tamworth(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs
Burnley U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Fulham U21(away)3-4Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 14, 2026Wolves U21(away)0-2Premier League Cup
May 14, 2026Sunderland U21(away)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 13, 2026West Bromwich Albion U21(home)2-1Premier League Cup
Apr 12, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)0-2Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stoke City U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Burnley U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Stoke City U21 1-3 Burnley U21Premier League 2 Division One
Nov 28, 2022Burnley U21 3-1 Stoke City U21Premier League Cup
Oct 27, 2022Stoke City U21 1-1 Burnley U21Premier League Cup

Last archived meeting: Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Stoke City U210.92.638/1511/15
Burnley U211.61.9111/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stoke City U21 sit 23rd in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Burnley U21 sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
22Burnley U211001340
23Stoke City U211001230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?
The Footlab model makes Burnley U21 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 played?
Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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