Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21: prediction and stats
Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire
The Footlab model makes Burnley U21 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Stoke City U21 (1,638) and Burnley U21 (1,735).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City U21 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Burnley U21 have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Brentford U21(home) | 2-3 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scunthorpe(away) | 0-4 | National League Cup |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Leeds United U21(home) | 0-0 | Premier League Cup |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Chester(away) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Tamworth(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Fulham U21(away) | 3-4 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Wolves U21(away) | 0-2 | Premier League Cup |
| May 14, 2026 | Sunderland U21(away) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 13, 2026 | West Bromwich Albion U21(home) | 2-1 | Premier League Cup |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Blackburn Rovers U21(home) | 0-2 | Premier League 2 Division One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Stoke City U21 win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Burnley U21 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Stoke City U21 1-3 Burnley U21 | Premier League 2 Division One |
| Nov 28, 2022 | Burnley U21 3-1 Stoke City U21 | Premier League Cup |
| Oct 27, 2022 | Stoke City U21 1-1 Burnley U21 | Premier League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 on Mar 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley U21 score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City U21 | 0.9 | 2.6 | 3 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Burnley U21 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stoke City U21 sit 23rd in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Burnley U21 sit 22nd (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Burnley U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21?
- The Footlab model makes Burnley U21 the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Stoke City U21.
- Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 played?
- Stoke City U21 vs Burnley U21 is played on April 9, 2027 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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