Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 played?

Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)bet365 Stadium, Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire

Stoke City U21

Chelsea U21

The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 1-2.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21?

Chelsea U21 starts as the favourite with a 232-point Elo edge (1,860 vs 1,629).

Stoke City U21 win21 %

Draw21 %

Chelsea U21 win58 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stoke City U21 have 3 wins, 1 draws and 11 defeats; Chelsea U21 have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Stoke City U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Brentford U21(home)	2-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026	Scunthorpe(away)	0-4	National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026	Leeds United U21(home)	0-0	Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026	Chester(away)	1-0	Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026	Tamworth(away)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

Chelsea U21
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 25, 2026	Bristol Rovers(away)	2-2	EFL Trophy
Aug 21, 2026	AFC Bournemouth U21(away)	1-2	Premier League 2 Division One
Jul 21, 2026	Cardiff City U21(home)	0-0	Friendlies Clubs
May 1, 2026	Tottenham Hotspur U21(home)	1-3	Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 25, 2026	Middlesbrough U21(home)	1-0	Premier League 2 Division One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Stoke City U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Chelsea U21 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Sep 27, 2025	Chelsea U21 1-2 Stoke City U21	Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Chelsea U21 vs Stoke City U21 on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Chelsea U21 score 2.3 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Stoke City U21	0.9	2.6	3	8/15	11/15
Chelsea U21	2.3	1.2	6	9/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Stoke City U21 sit 23rd in Premier League 2 Division One (0 points from 1 matches) and Chelsea U21 sit 24th (0 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
23	Stoke City U21	1	0	0	1	2	3	0
24	Chelsea U21	1	0	0	1	1	2	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21?: The Footlab model makes Chelsea U21 the favourite at 58%, against 21% for a draw and 21% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 played?: Stoke City U21 vs Chelsea U21 is played on October 16, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at bet365 Stadium, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.