Stumbras II vs Hegelmann Litauen: prediction and stats
1 LygaRegular Season - 28Kick-off on October 13, 2019 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Nacionalinės futbolo akademijos stadionas, Kaunas
Match cancelled
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stumbras II have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Hegelmann Litauen have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2018 | Banga(away) | 0-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 17, 2018 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 15, 2018 | NFA Kaunas(away) | 1-3 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 13, 2018 | Pakruojis(home) | 4-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Oct 10, 2018 | Žalgiris II(home) | 1-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2019 | Pakruojis(home) | 11-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 28, 2019 | Kupiškis(away) | 0-0 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Jonava(home) | 1-1 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 16, 2019 | Nevėžis(home) | 3-2 | 1 Lyga |
| Sep 12, 2019 | Trakai II(away) | 0-4 | 1 Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Stumbras II score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Hegelmann Litauen score 2.3 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stumbras II | 1.6 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Hegelmann Litauen | 2.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy