Sturm Graz II vs FC BW Linz: prediction and stats
2. LigaRegular Season - 26Kick-off on April 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, Gleisdorf
The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sturm Graz II vs FC BW Linz?
FC BW Linz starts as the favourite with a 279-point Elo edge (1,954 vs 1,675).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sturm Graz II have 2 wins, 1 draws and 12 defeats; FC BW Linz have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz(away) | 1-3 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Admira Wacker(home) | 0-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Floridsdorfer AC(home) | 4-2 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | First Vienna(away) | 0-4 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | NK Lokomotiva Zagreb(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Voitsberg(home) | 5-1 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 14, 2026 | SKN ST. Polten(away) | 1-0 | 2. Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Wacker Innsbruck(home) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Austria Vienna (Am)(away) | 3-0 | 2. Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Gurten(away) | 3-1 | Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sturm Graz II win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 FC BW Linz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 4, 2023 | FC BW Linz 2-1 Sturm Graz II | 2. Liga |
| Aug 21, 2022 | Sturm Graz II 0-2 FC BW Linz | 2. Liga |
| Apr 12, 2016 | Sturm Graz II 1-1 FC BW Linz | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Aug 21, 2015 | FC BW Linz 4-1 Sturm Graz II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Mar 13, 2015 | Sturm Graz II 2-4 FC BW Linz | Regionalliga - Mitte |
| Aug 15, 2014 | FC BW Linz 0-0 Sturm Graz II | Regionalliga - Mitte |
Last archived meeting: FC BW Linz vs Sturm Graz II on Jun 4, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Sturm Graz II score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; FC BW Linz score 2.2 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sturm Graz II | 0.9 | 2.1 | 0 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| FC BW Linz | 2.2 | 0.7 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sturm Graz II sit 14th in 2. Liga (3 points from 4 matches) and FC BW Linz sit 1st (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
| 14 | Sturm Graz II | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sturm Graz II vs FC BW Linz?
- The Footlab model makes FC BW Linz the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sturm Graz II.
- Where and when is Sturm Graz II vs FC BW Linz played?
- Sturm Graz II vs FC BW Linz is played on April 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Solarstadion der Stadt Gleisdorf, in the 2. Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.