Sukhothai FC vs Lamphun Warrior: prediction and stats
Thai League 1Regular Season - 22Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Thung Talay Luang Stadium, Sukhothai
The Footlab model makes Sukhothai FC the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lamphun Warrior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sukhothai FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Sukhothai FC (1,583) and Lamphun Warrior (1,670).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sukhothai FC have 2 wins, 4 draws and 9 defeats; Lamphun Warrior have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Muangthong United(home) | 3-0 | Thai League 1 |
| May 2, 2026 | Nakhon Ratchasima FC(away) | 0-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Chiangrai United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 3, 2026 | Bangkok United(away) | 0-2 | Thai League 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Prachuap(away) | 0-1 | FA Cup |
| May 10, 2026 | Buriram United(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| May 3, 2026 | Chiangrai United(home) | 0-0 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Rayong FC(away) | 1-1 | Thai League 1 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Ratchaburi(home) | 1-2 | Thai League 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Sukhothai FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Lamphun Warrior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 3-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Jan 14, 2026 | Lamphun Warrior 2-0 Sukhothai FC | FA Cup |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Sukhothai FC 1-2 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Lamphun Warrior 1-0 Sukhothai FC | Thai League 1 |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 4-0 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
| May 26, 2024 | Sukhothai FC 0-3 Lamphun Warrior | Thai League 1 |
Last archived meeting: Lamphun Warrior vs Sukhothai FC on Jan 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sukhothai FC score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Lamphun Warrior score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sukhothai FC | 0.7 | 1.6 | 2 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Lamphun Warrior | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sukhothai FC sit 13th in Thai League 1 (28 points from 30 matches) and Lamphun Warrior sit 12th (29 points from 30 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lamphun Warrior | 30 | 4 | 17 | 9 | 35 | 47 | 29 |
| 13 | Sukhothai FC | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 42 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sukhothai FC vs Lamphun Warrior?
- The Footlab model makes Sukhothai FC the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Lamphun Warrior.
- Where and when is Sukhothai FC vs Lamphun Warrior played?
- Sukhothai FC vs Lamphun Warrior is played on March 20, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Thung Talay Luang Stadium, in the Thai League 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.