Sumqayıt vs Qarabag: result 2-4 and analysis
Premyer LiqaRegular Season - 12Kick-off on November 21, 2025 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kapital Bank Arena, Sumqayıt
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What was the result of Sumqayıt vs Qarabag?
Qarabag won 2-4 on November 21, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 6′Leandro AndradeQarabag
- 31′H. HaqverdiSumqayıt
- 42′T. BayramovQarabag
- 63′R. AlmeydaQarabag
- 84′N. SimonSumqayıt
- 90′O. KashchukQarabag
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sumqayıt have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Qarabag have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2025 | Qabala(away) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Araz(home) | 3-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Zaqatala(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Zira(away) | 0-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Karvan(home) | 4-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9, 2025 | Neftchi Baku(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Chelsea(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Imisli FK(home) | 2-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 22, 2025 | Athletic Club(away) | 1-3 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sumqayıt win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Qarabag win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2025 | Qarabag 0-1 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| May 4, 2025 | Qarabag 2-0 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Sumqayıt 0-2 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Qarabag 5-0 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Sumqayıt 0-1 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
| Apr 28, 2024 | Sumqayıt 1-0 Qarabag | Premyer Liqa |
How many goals should we expect?
Sumqayıt score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Qarabag score 1.8 and concede 0.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumqayıt | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Qarabag | 1.8 | 0.9 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sumqayıt sit 10th in Premyer Liqa (0 points from 1 matches) and Qarabag sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Sumqayıt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy