Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA: prediction and stats
Premyer LiqaMatchday 12Kick-off on November 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Kapital Bank Arena, Sumqayıt
The Footlab AI model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sumqayıt. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sabah FA wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,579 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA?
Sabah FA is a heavy favourite: 2,061 Elo points against 1,696, a 365-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sumqayıt
4-3-3- 10Ronaldo Junior Vásquez Herasme
- 11M. Bangré
- 9Jeam
- 42C. Badolo
- 55Lucas Black
- 17N. Əhmədzadə
- 4Easah Suliman
- 5Renan
- 80Keffel
- 21Tiago Almeida
- 16M. Johansson
Sabah FA
4-2-3-1- 99P. Mbina
- 13I. Lepinjica
- 6A. Xaybulayev
- 11K. Parris
- 21V. Simić
- 8C. Nwachukwu
- 27T. Puchacz
- 80A. Zedadka
- 3S. Solvet
- 4A. McCarthy
- 92S. Pokatilov
Computed on November 13, 2026 at 07:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sumqayıt have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Sabah FA have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Imisli FK(away) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Safa Baku(home) | 1-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Kür-Araz(away) | 11-0 | Cup |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Zira(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Araz(home) | 2-1 | Premyer Liqa |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2026 | Şamaxı FK(home) | 2-2 | Premyer Liqa |
| Nov 4, 2026 | Viking(away) | 1-4 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Turan(away) | 2-3 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Qarabag(home) | 0-0 | Premyer Liqa |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund(home) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sumqayıt wins, 3 draws, 3 Sabah FA wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | Sabah FA 3-1 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Dec 22, 2025 | Sumqayıt 1-3 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Sabah FA 1-1 Sumqayıt | Premyer Liqa |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Sumqayıt 3-3 Sabah FA | Premyer Liqa |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Sumqayıt 0-4 Sabah FA | Cup |
| Feb 5, 2025 | Sabah FA 0-0 Sumqayıt | Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Sumqayıt score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sabah FA score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumqayıt | 2.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
| Sabah FA | 2.0 | 1.3 | 7 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sumqayıt sit 9th in Premyer Liqa (10 points from 10 matches) and Sabah FA sit 3rd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sabah FA | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 6 | 21 |
| 9 | Sumqayıt | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
A question about Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sabah FA the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Sumqayıt.
- Where and when is Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA played?
- Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA is played on November 20, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Kapital Bank Arena, in the Premyer Liqa.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.