Sumy vs Naftovyk-Ukrnafta: result 0-1 and analysis
Persha LigaRegular Season - 5Kick-off on August 11, 2012 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Yuvilejnyj, Sumy
Full time
What was the result of Sumy vs Naftovyk-Ukrnafta?
Naftovyk-Ukrnafta won 0-1 on August 11, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 43′Leonid BoyaryntsevNaftovyk-Ukrnafta
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sumy have 9 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats; Naftovyk-Ukrnafta have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | Dynamo Kyiv II(away) | 3-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Odesa(home) | 1-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 20, 2012 | Zirka(away) | 0-4 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 13, 2012 | Obolon'(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| May 25, 2012 | Real Pharm(home) | 1-0 | Druha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2012 | Kramatorsk(home) | 0-3 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 28, 2012 | Olimpik Donetsk(away) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 21, 2012 | Oleksandria(home) | 2-3 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 14, 2012 | Sevastopol(away) | 2-2 | Persha Liga |
| May 30, 2012 | Mykolaiv(away) | 0-2 | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Sumy score 1.3 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Naftovyk-Ukrnafta score 1.4 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sumy | 1.3 | 0.7 | 8 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Naftovyk-Ukrnafta | 1.4 | 1.6 | 3 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy