Sundby vs Holstebro: prediction and stats
3. DivisionRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Sundby Idrætspark, København
The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sundby. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sundby vs Holstebro?
A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Sundby (1,633) and Holstebro (1,713).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sundby have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Holstebro have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(home) | 4-4 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Brønshøj(away) | 1-3 | 3. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Slagelse B&I(away) | 4-0 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Næsby(away) | 1-2 | 3. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Helsingor(home) | 2-1 | 3. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ringsted(away) | 4-0 | 3. Division |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Holbæk B&I(home) | 2-2 | 3. Division |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Aalborg(home) | 1-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hørsholm-Usserød(away) | 3-2 | 3. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Sundby win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Holstebro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2025 | Holstebro 4-1 Sundby | 3. Division |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Sundby 0-3 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Sundby 1-3 Holstebro | 3. Division |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Holstebro 1-1 Sundby | 3. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Sundby score 1.7 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Holstebro score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sundby | 1.7 | 2.0 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Holstebro | 2.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sundby sit 12th in 3. Division (0 points from 3 matches) and Holstebro sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Holstebro | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
| 12 | Sundby | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sundby vs Holstebro?
- The Footlab model makes Holstebro the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for Sundby.
- Where and when is Sundby vs Holstebro played?
- Sundby vs Holstebro is played on September 19, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Sundby Idrætspark, in the 3. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.