Match

Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21: prediction and stats

Premier League 2 Division OneRegular SeasonKick-off on November 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Eppleton Colliery Football Ground, Hetton-le-Hole, Tyne and Wear

Sunderland U21Stoke City U21

The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21?

Sunderland U21 starts as the favourite with a 212-point Elo edge (1,847 vs 1,635).

Sunderland U21 win70 %
Draw16 %
Stoke City U21 win14 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sunderland U21 have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Stoke City U21 have 3, 1 and 11.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Sunderland U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Jong PSV U21(home)1-1Premier League International Cup
May 14, 2026Burnley U21(home)1-2Premier League Cup
Apr 26, 2026Manchester United U21(away)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Apr 15, 2026Blackburn Rovers U21(home)4-2Premier League Cup
Apr 6, 2026Derby County U21(away)1-2Premier League 2 Division One
Stoke City U21
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Brentford U21(home)2-3Premier League 2 Division One
Aug 18, 2026Scunthorpe(away)0-4National League Cup
Aug 14, 2026Leeds United U21(home)0-0Premier League Cup
Jul 21, 2026Chester(away)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 18, 2026Tamworth(away)1-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Sunderland U21 win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Stoke City U21 win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 25, 2025Sunderland U21 1-2 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Mar 6, 2023Sunderland U21 4-1 Stoke City U21Premier League 2 Division One
Oct 23, 2022Stoke City U21 2-3 Sunderland U21Premier League 2 Division One

Last archived meeting: Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21 on Oct 25, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Sunderland U21 score 2.4 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stoke City U21 score 0.9 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Sunderland U212.41.6212/1512/15
Stoke City U210.92.638/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
28Stoke City U211001230

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21?
The Footlab model makes Sunderland U21 the favourite at 70%, against 16% for a draw and 14% for Stoke City U21.
Where and when is Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21 played?
Sunderland U21 vs Stoke City U21 is played on November 30, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Eppleton Colliery Football Ground, in the Premier League 2 Division One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Sunderland U21 and Stoke City U21

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