Match

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC: prediction and stats

Canadian Premier LeagueGroup StageKick-off on September 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)

Supra du QuebecHFX Wanderers FC

The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for HFX Wanderers FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Supra du Quebec (1,681) and HFX Wanderers FC (1,642).

Supra du Quebec win51 %
Draw24 %
HFX Wanderers FC win25 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Supra du Quebec have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; HFX Wanderers FC have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Supra du Quebec
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026York United(away)1-1Canadian Premier League
Aug 19, 2026Forge(away)2-3Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026Atlético Ottawa(home)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 11, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)3-3Canadian Championship
Aug 9, 2026Cavalry FC(home)1-1Canadian Premier League
HFX Wanderers FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Vancouver FC(home)1-0Canadian Premier League
Aug 16, 2026York United(away)3-4Canadian Premier League
Aug 8, 2026Atlético Ottawa(away)1-2Canadian Premier League
Aug 2, 2026Forge(home)0-0Canadian Premier League
Jul 24, 2026Supra du Quebec(home)2-3Canadian Premier League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Supra du Quebec win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 HFX Wanderers FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 24, 2026HFX Wanderers FC 2-3 Supra du QuebecCanadian Premier League
Apr 24, 2026Supra du Quebec 2-1 HFX Wanderers FCCanadian Premier League

Last archived meeting: HFX Wanderers FC vs Supra du Quebec on Jul 24, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Supra du Quebec score 1.8 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; HFX Wanderers FC score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Supra du Quebec1.82.1015/1511/15
HFX Wanderers FC1.21.738/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Supra du Quebec sit 6th in Canadian Premier League (18 points from 17 matches) and HFX Wanderers FC sit 5th (20 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5HFX Wanderers FC19559253020
6Supra du Quebec17539253218

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC?
The Footlab model makes Supra du Quebec the favourite at 51%, against 24% for a draw and 25% for HFX Wanderers FC.
Where and when is Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC played?
Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC is played on September 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC), in the Canadian Premier League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Supra du Quebec and HFX Wanderers FC

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