Svay Rieng vs National Defense: prediction and stats
C-LeagueRegular Season - 2Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sports Complex Svay Rieng, Svay Rieng
The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 89%, against 7% for a draw and 4% for National Defense. The most likely score is 4-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
Svay Rieng is a heavy favourite: 1,873 Elo points against 1,366, a 507-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Svay Rieng have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; National Defense have 1, 1 and 13.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 4-4 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 20, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 3-2 | Hun Sen Cup |
| May 17, 2026 | Phnom Penh Crown(home) | 1-2 | C-League |
| May 13, 2026 | Al Kuwait(away) | 3-4 | AFC Challenge League |
| May 7, 2026 | Boeung Ket(home) | 2-3 | C-League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Dangkor Senchey(away) | 0-6 | C-League |
| May 9, 2026 | Visakha(away) | 0-4 | C-League |
| May 2, 2026 | Life Sihanoukville(home) | 0-4 | C-League |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kirivong Sok Sen Chey(home) | 3-1 | C-League |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Visakha(home) | 1-3 | C-League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Svay Rieng win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 National Defense win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Svay Rieng 6-3 National Defense | C-League |
| Oct 19, 2025 | National Defense 1-6 Svay Rieng | C-League |
| Nov 11, 2024 | National Defense 0-0 Svay Rieng | C-League |
| Aug 11, 2024 | Svay Rieng 7-0 National Defense | C-League |
| Jan 28, 2024 | National Defense 0-1 Svay Rieng | C-League |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Svay Rieng 1-0 National Defense | C-League |
Last archived meeting: Svay Rieng vs National Defense on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Svay Rieng score 2.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; National Defense score 0.8 and concede 3.5. The model gives a 88% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svay Rieng | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| National Defense | 0.8 | 3.5 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Svay Rieng sit 1st in C-League (66 points from 30 matches) and National Defense sit 3rd (21 points from 28 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svay Rieng | 30 | 21 | 3 | 6 | 83 | 34 | 66 |
| 3 | National Defense | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 76 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Svay Rieng vs National Defense?
- The Footlab model makes Svay Rieng the favourite at 89%, against 7% for a draw and 4% for National Defense.
- Where and when is Svay Rieng vs National Defense played?
- Svay Rieng vs National Defense is played on September 12, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Sports Complex Svay Rieng, in the C-League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 88% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.