Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II: result 4-3 and analysis
MLS Next ProConference - Quarter-finalsKick-off on October 2, 2023 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Starfire Sports Stadium, Tukwila, Washington
Full time
What was the result of Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II?
Tacoma Defiance won 4-3 on October 2, 2023.
Goalscorers
- 3′B. BowenTacoma Defiance
- 13′Braudílio RodriguesTacoma Defiance
- 19′Braudílio RodriguesTacoma Defiance
- 31′J. EvansHouston Dynamo FC II
- 53′D. TevesTacoma Defiance
- 79′D. GonzalezHouston Dynamo FC II
- 81′I. LeFloreHouston Dynamo FC II
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tacoma Defiance have 9 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats; Houston Dynamo FC II have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Vancouver Whitecaps II(home) | 3-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 16, 2023 | Real Monarchs(away) | 3-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 11, 2023 | The Town(home) | 3-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Portland Timbers II(home) | 4-0 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Minnesota United II(away) | 4-2 | MLS Next Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2023 | Ventura County(away) | 2-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 17, 2023 | North Texas(home) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 11, 2023 | Portland Timbers II(away) | 3-1 | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 3, 2023 | St. Louis City II(home) | 1-3 | MLS Next Pro |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Ventura County(home) | 0-4 | MLS Next Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Tacoma Defiance win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Houston Dynamo FC II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2023 | Tacoma Defiance 1-0 Houston Dynamo FC II | MLS Next Pro |
| Apr 23, 2023 | Houston Dynamo FC II 1-2 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Tacoma Defiance 2-2 Houston Dynamo FC II | MLS Next Pro |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Houston Dynamo FC II 1-0 Tacoma Defiance | MLS Next Pro |
| May 1, 2022 | Tacoma Defiance 4-1 Houston Dynamo FC II | MLS Next Pro |
Last archived meeting: Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo FC II on Jul 3, 2023
How many goals should we expect?
Tacoma Defiance score 2.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Houston Dynamo FC II score 1.7 and concede 1.9.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tacoma Defiance | 2.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Houston Dynamo FC II | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tacoma Defiance sit 7th in MLS Next Pro (33 points from 23 matches) and Houston Dynamo FC II sit 2nd (48 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 23 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 23 | 17 | 0 | 6 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo FC II | 21 | 16 | 0 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 11 | 0 | 12 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy