Talanta vs Fortune Sacco: prediction and stats
FKF Premier LeagueRegular Season - 1Kick-off on October 1, 2022 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Ruaraka Stadium, Nairobi
Match postponed — new date to be confirmed
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Talanta have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Fortune Sacco have 11, 1 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2022 | Nairobi City Stars(away) | 2-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 8, 2022 | GOR Mahia(home) | 1-2 | FKF Premier League |
| Jun 5, 2022 | Homeboyz(home) | 0-2 | FKF Premier League |
| May 29, 2022 | Kariobangi Sharks(home) | 2-0 | FKF Premier League |
| May 21, 2022 | AFC Leopards(away) | 2-3 | FKF Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 2022 | Gusii(away) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 18, 2022 | MCF(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 13, 2022 | Migori Youth(away) | 0-2 | Super League |
| Jul 3, 2022 | Murang'a SEAL(home) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Mara Sugar(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Talanta score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortune Sacco score 1.4 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talanta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Fortune Sacco | 1.4 | 0.6 | 9 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy