Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orange County SC: result 1-3 and analysis
USL ChampionshipChampionship - FinalKick-off on November 29, 2021 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Al Lang Stadium, St. Petersburg, Florida
Full time
What was the result of Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Orange County SC?
Orange County SC won 1-3 on November 29, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 25′R. DamusOrange County SC
- 38′R. DamusOrange County SC
- 45′M. KuningasOrange County SC
- 57′Leo FernandesTampa Bay Rowdies
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tampa Bay Rowdies have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; Orange County SC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | Louisville City(home) | 3-2 | USL Championship |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Birmingham Legion(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Nov 6, 2021 | FC Tulsa(home) | 6-2 | USL Championship |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Las Vegas Lights(away) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
| Oct 23, 2021 | Loudoun United(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | San Antonio(home) | 1-1 | USL Championship |
| Nov 14, 2021 | Oakland Roots(home) | 0-0 | USL Championship |
| Nov 7, 2021 | Colorado Springs(home) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 31, 2021 | Ventura County(away) | 1-0 | USL Championship |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Las Vegas Lights(home) | 2-1 | USL Championship |
How many goals should we expect?
Tampa Bay Rowdies score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Orange County SC score 1.1 and concede 0.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 2.5 | 0.8 | 7 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Orange County SC | 1.1 | 0.8 | 8 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tampa Bay Rowdies sit 1st in USL Championship (28 points from 13 matches) and Orange County SC sit 2nd (20 points from 12 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 28 |
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 20 | 44 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 11 | 20 |
| 2 | Orange County SC | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy