Tanjong Pagar vs Home United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 21Kick-off on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Jurong East Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Tanjong Pagar. The most likely score is 0-3.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tanjong Pagar vs Home United?
Home United is a heavy favourite: 1,809 Elo points against 1,234, a 575-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tanjong Pagar have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Home United have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Hougang United(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Balestier Khalsa(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Hougang United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 2-3 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 3, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Young Lions(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Tanjong Pagar win(s), 0 draw(s), 6 Home United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar 0-4 Home United | Premier League |
| Feb 15, 2026 | Home United 7-0 Tanjong Pagar | Premier League |
| Sep 22, 2025 | Tanjong Pagar 0-7 Home United | Premier League |
| May 10, 2025 | Tanjong Pagar 0-1 Home United | Premier League |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Home United 4-1 Tanjong Pagar | Cup |
| Feb 9, 2025 | Home United 4-1 Tanjong Pagar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tanjong Pagar vs Home United on Apr 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tanjong Pagar score 0.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Home United score 2.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 78% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanjong Pagar | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Home United | 2.7 | 0.9 | 8 | 5/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tanjong Pagar sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 21 matches) and Home United sit 1st (51 points from 21 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Home United | 21 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 70 | 14 | 51 |
| 8 | Tanjong Pagar | 21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 63 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tanjong Pagar vs Home United?
- The Footlab model makes Home United the favourite at 80%, against 12% for a draw and 7% for Tanjong Pagar.
- Where and when is Tanjong Pagar vs Home United played?
- Tanjong Pagar vs Home United is played on May 15, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Jurong East Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 78% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.