Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 16Kick-off on April 9, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC)Jurong East Stadium, Singapore
The Footlab model makes Hougang United the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Tanjong Pagar. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United?
Hougang United starts as the favourite with a 220-point Elo edge (1,455 vs 1,234).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tanjong Pagar have 1 wins, 1 draws and 13 defeats; Hougang United have 6, 0 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Hougang United(home) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| May 9, 2026 | Balestier Khalsa(away) | 0-6 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Hougang United(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(away) | 0-4 | Premier League |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Geylang International(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar(away) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| May 10, 2026 | Tampines Rovers(home) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Apr 27, 2026 | Balestier Khalsa(away) | 3-0 | Premier League |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Albirex Niigata S(home) | 0-4 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tanjong Pagar win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Hougang United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 18, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar 2-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
| May 5, 2026 | Tanjong Pagar 1-2 Hougang United | Premier League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Hougang United 3-0 Tanjong Pagar | Premier League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Tanjong Pagar 2-3 Hougang United | Cup |
| May 13, 2025 | Tanjong Pagar 1-1 Hougang United | Premier League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Hougang United 6-0 Tanjong Pagar | Premier League |
Last archived meeting: Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United on May 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tanjong Pagar score 0.5 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; Hougang United score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 71% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanjong Pagar | 0.5 | 3.0 | 0 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Hougang United | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tanjong Pagar sit 8th in Premier League (7 points from 21 matches) and Hougang United sit 6th (21 points from 21 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hougang United | 21 | 7 | 0 | 14 | 24 | 41 | 21 |
| 8 | Tanjong Pagar | 21 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 17 | 63 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United?
- The Footlab model makes Hougang United the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 19% for Tanjong Pagar.
- Where and when is Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United played?
- Tanjong Pagar vs Hougang United is played on April 9, 2027 at 11:30 AM (UTC) at Jurong East Stadium, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 71% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.