Tapajós vs Castanhal: result 1-2 and analysis
Paraense1st Phase - 5Kick-off on February 16, 2020 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Jader Fontenelle Barbalho, Santarém, Pará
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What was the result of Tapajós vs Castanhal?
Castanhal won 1-2 on February 16, 2020.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Tapajós have 1 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats; Castanhal have 3, 0 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2020 | Bragantino PA(away) | 0-2 | Paraense |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Itupiranga(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Jan 26, 2020 | Paragominas(home) | 2-1 | Paraense |
| Jan 19, 2020 | Remo(away) | 0-1 | Paraense |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2020 | Carajás(home) | 3-0 | Paraense |
| Feb 2, 2020 | Paysandu(home) | 3-2 | Paraense |
| Jan 25, 2020 | Águia de Marabá(away) | 1-2 | Paraense |
| Jan 18, 2020 | Independente PA(away) | 3-2 | Paraense |
How many goals should we expect?
Tapajós score 0.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 4; Castanhal score 2.5 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapajós | 0.5 | 1.3 | 0 | 1/4 | 1/4 |
| Castanhal | 2.5 | 1.5 | 1 | 3/4 | 4/4 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Castanhal | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy