Tarbes vs Le Poiré sur Vie: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 26Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, Tarbes
The Footlab model makes Tarbes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Le Poiré sur Vie. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tarbes vs Le Poiré sur Vie?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Tarbes (1,692) and Le Poiré sur Vie (1,732).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarbes have 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats; Le Poiré sur Vie have 11, 2 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Saumur(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Blagnac(away) | 2-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| May 9, 2026 | Onet-le-Château(home) | 6-1 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Lège-Cap-Ferret(home) | 4-4 | National 3 - Group A |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Pau II(away) | 1-0 | National 3 - Group A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Châteauroux II(home) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| May 9, 2026 | Nantes II(away) | 0-2 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Angers SCO II(home) | 2-0 | National 3 - Group B |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vendée Fontenay(away) | 4-0 | National 3 - Group B |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarbes score 2.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Le Poiré sur Vie score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarbes | 2.0 | 1.0 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Le Poiré sur Vie | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tarbes sit 11th in National 2 - Group B (1 points from 1 matches) and Le Poiré sur Vie sit 12th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Tarbes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Le Poiré sur Vie | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tarbes vs Le Poiré sur Vie?
- The Footlab model makes Tarbes the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Le Poiré sur Vie.
- Where and when is Tarbes vs Le Poiré sur Vie played?
- Tarbes vs Le Poiré sur Vie is played on April 24, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Maurice Trélut 2 - Terrain B, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.