Tartu Welco vs Flora II: result 2-1 and analysis
Esiliiga AMatchday 23Kick-off on August 15, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
Full time
What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
Tartu Welco won 2-1 on August 15, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 13′H. KäblikTartu Welco
- 48′E. PaltserFlora II
- 88′H. KäblikTartu Welco
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Tartu Welco win at 63%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 2-1. Actual score: 2-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Flora II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 12, 2026 | Kose(away) | 8-0 | Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Elva(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nõmme United II(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Rumori Calcio II(away) | 1-5 | Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | FC Tallinn(home) | 0-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | FC Tallinn(away) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 5-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 22, 2026 | Trans Narva(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Maardu(home) | 1-3 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Tartu Welco wins, 4 draws, 0 Flora II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Tartu Welco 3-3 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Flora II 1-6 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Flora II 1-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Tartu Welco 0-0 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| May 25, 2025 | Tartu Welco 4-2 Flora II | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Flora II 3-3 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Welco vs Flora II on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 2.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Flora II score 1.9 and concede 1.7.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 2.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Flora II | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tartu Welco sit 1st in Esiliiga A (77 points from 35 matches) and Flora II sit 4th (52 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 35 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 101 | 45 | 77 |
| 4 | Flora II | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 78 | 60 | 52 |
A question about Tartu Welco vs Flora II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy