Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United: result 1-3 and analysis
Esiliiga ARegular Season - 21Kick-off on July 28, 2025 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Annelinna Gümnaasium staadion, Tartu
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What was the result of Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United?
Nõmme United won 1-3 on July 28, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 43′E. OunapuuNõmme United
- 45′R. ChandaNõmme United
- 46′S. MerilaiNõmme United
- 81′538813Tartu Welco
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tartu Welco have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Nõmme United have 13, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 23, 2025 | Viimsi(away) | 1-2 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | FCI Levadia II(home) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 5, 2025 | FC Tallinn(away) | 5-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jun 19, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(home) | 0-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 2025 | Laagri III(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Jul 21, 2025 | Flora II(home) | 4-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 17, 2025 | Flora II(home) | 4-1 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Tallinna Kalev II(away) | 3-0 | Esiliiga A |
| Jul 3, 2025 | Nõmme Kalju II(away) | 5-1 | Esiliiga A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Tartu Welco win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nõmme United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2025 | Tartu Welco 1-1 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Nõmme United 0-1 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
| Oct 17, 2021 | Tartu Welco 2-3 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| Sep 29, 2021 | Tartu Welco 0-4 Nõmme United | Esiliiga A |
| May 9, 2021 | Nõmme United 4-0 Tartu Welco | Esiliiga A |
Last archived meeting: Tartu Welco vs Nõmme United on May 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tartu Welco score 3.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Nõmme United score 4.0 and concede 0.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tartu Welco | 3.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Nõmme United | 4.0 | 0.6 | 7 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 38 |
| 1 | Tartu Welco | 25 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 74 | 35 | 54 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy