Tarup-Paarup vs Odder: result 1-4 and analysis
2. DivisionRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 6, 2018 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Home Tarup Park, Odense
Full time
What was the result of Tarup-Paarup vs Odder?
Odder won 1-4 on October 6, 2018.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tarup-Paarup have 4 wins, 1 draws and 10 defeats; Odder have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Sydvest(away) | 2-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Brabrand(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 18, 2018 | Jammerbugt(home) | 0-4 | 2. Division |
| Sep 14, 2018 | Kolding IF(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2018 | Thisted FC(home) | 0-1 | DBU Pokalen |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29, 2018 | Kolding IF(home) | 0-4 | 2. Division |
| Sep 22, 2018 | Dalum(away) | 1-4 | 2. Division |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Ringkøbing(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 7, 2018 | Skive(away) | 2-3 | 2. Division |
| Sep 1, 2018 | Sydvest(home) | 1-1 | 2. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Tarup-Paarup score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Odder score 1.0 and concede 2.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarup-Paarup | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Odder | 1.0 | 2.1 | 2 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy