Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 13Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Grosics Gyula Stadion, Tatabánya
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dorogi FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
A very open match: only 70 Elo points separate Tatabánya (1,635) and Dorogi FC (1,566).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatabánya have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Dorogi FC have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | 1908 SZAC(away) | 7-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Király SZE(away) | 0-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Veszprém(home) | 6-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(home) | 4-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Puskás II(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Tatabánya win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Dorogi FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Dorogi FC 0-2 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Tatabánya 0-1 Dorogi FC | NB III - Northwest |
| Apr 7, 2024 | Dorogi FC 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 24, 2023 | Tatabánya 3-1 Dorogi FC | NB III - Northwest |
| Sep 21, 2016 | Tatabánya 0-3 Dorogi FC | Magyar Kupa |
Last archived meeting: Dorogi FC vs Tatabánya on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dorogi FC score 2.1 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Dorogi FC | 2.1 | 0.8 | 7 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatabánya sit 6th in NB III - Northwest (7 points from 4 matches) and Dorogi FC sit 1st (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dorogi FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 43%, against 25% for a draw and 32% for Dorogi FC.
- Where and when is Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC played?
- Tatabánya vs Dorogi FC is played on October 25, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Grosics Gyula Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.