Tatabánya vs MTE 1904: prediction and stats
NB III - NorthwestNorthwest - 29Kick-off on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Grosics Gyula Stadion, Tatabánya
The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for MTE 1904. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatabánya vs MTE 1904?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Tatabánya (1,607) and MTE 1904 (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatabánya have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; MTE 1904 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kapuvari SE(away) | 2-1 | Magyar Kupa |
| Aug 15, 2026 | SC Sopron(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Bicskei(home) | 3-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Puskás II(away) | 4-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Gyori ETO II(away) | 1-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Veszprém(away) | 1-1 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Balatonalmádi(away) | 1-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Király SZE(home) | 3-2 | NB III - Northwest |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sárisápi Bányász(home) | 3-0 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 24, 2026 | Zsámbéki SK(away) | 6-1 | NB III - Northwest |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Tatabánya win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 MTE 1904 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | MTE 1904 0-1 Tatabánya | NB III - Northwest |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Tatabánya 3-0 MTE 1904 | NB III - Northwest |
| May 15, 2022 | Tatabánya 0-1 MTE 1904 | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 14, 2021 | MTE 1904 2-0 Tatabánya | NB III - Southwest |
| May 16, 2021 | Tatabánya 3-2 MTE 1904 | NB III - Southwest |
| Nov 8, 2020 | MTE 1904 2-0 Tatabánya | NB III - Southwest |
Last archived meeting: MTE 1904 vs Tatabánya on May 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tatabánya score 2.7 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; MTE 1904 score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatabánya | 2.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| MTE 1904 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatabánya sit 6th in NB III - Northwest (7 points from 4 matches) and MTE 1904 sit 2nd (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | MTE 1904 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Tatabánya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatabánya vs MTE 1904?
- The Footlab model makes Tatabánya the favourite at 53%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for MTE 1904.
- Where and when is Tatabánya vs MTE 1904 played?
- Tatabánya vs MTE 1904 is played on May 16, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Grosics Gyula Stadion, in the NB III - Northwest.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.