Tatran Prešov vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom: prediction and stats
2. ligaRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Futbal Tatran Arena, Prešov
The Footlab model makes Tatran Prešov the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tatran Prešov vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom?
Tatran Prešov starts as the favourite with a 152-point Elo edge (1,800 vs 1,648).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tatran Prešov have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom have 4, 8 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Inter Bratislava(home) | 2-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Družstevník Čirč(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Petržalka(away) | 2-4 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Liptovský Mikuláš(home) | 1-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lokomotíva Zvolen(away) | 1-0 | 2. liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slovan Bratislava II(home) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
| Aug 18, 2026 | FC Topoľčany(away) | 5-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Šamorín(away) | 2-0 | 2. liga |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Malženice(home) | 1-1 | 2. liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Zlaté Moravce(away) | 2-2 | 2. liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Tatran Prešov score 1.2 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tatran Prešov | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 2.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tatran Prešov sit 3rd in 2. liga (10 points from 5 matches) and Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom sit 7th (7 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tatran Prešov | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 10 |
| 7 | Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tatran Prešov vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom?
- The Footlab model makes Tatran Prešov the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom.
- Where and when is Tatran Prešov vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom played?
- Tatran Prešov vs Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is played on October 3, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Futbal Tatran Arena, in the 2. liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.