Telavi vs Shturmi: prediction and stats
Erovnuli Liga 2Regular Season - 26Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadioni Givi Chokheli, Telavi
The Footlab model makes Telavi the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Shturmi. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Telavi vs Shturmi?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Telavi (1,566) and Shturmi (1,490).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Telavi have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Shturmi have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kolkheti Poti(away) | 1-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Gareji(home) | 0-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dinamo Batumi(away) | 0-1 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Saburtalo II(away) | 1-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Samtredia(home) | 0-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Sioni(away) | 1-0 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Merani Martvili(home) | 2-1 | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Samtredia(away) | 1-2 | David Kipiani Cup |
| Jun 26, 2026 | West Georgia(away) | 2-0 | David Kipiani Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Telavi win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Shturmi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2026 | Shturmi 0-2 Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Telavi 1-1 Shturmi | Erovnuli Liga 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Telavi score 1.1 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Shturmi score 0.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 22% probability of over 2.5 goals and 30% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Telavi | 1.1 | 0.5 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Shturmi | 0.9 | 0.7 | 8 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Telavi sit 2nd in Erovnuli Liga 2 (40 points from 22 matches) and Shturmi sit 3rd (33 points from 22 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Telavi | 22 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 40 |
| 3 | Shturmi | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 16 | 33 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Telavi vs Shturmi?
- The Footlab model makes Telavi the favourite at 42%, against 36% for a draw and 22% for Shturmi.
- Where and when is Telavi vs Shturmi played?
- Telavi vs Shturmi is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadioni Givi Chokheli, in the Erovnuli Liga 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 22% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.