Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
CA La Paz won 0-1 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′O. MillánCA La Paz
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CA La Paz have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Venados FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Irapuato(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 19, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tepatitlán win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 CA La Paz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Tepatitlán 4-1 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | CA La Paz 2-5 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CA La Paz 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Tepatitlán 4-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Tepatitlán 3-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 9, 2022 | CA La Paz 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CA La Paz score 1.8 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| CA La Paz | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and CA La Paz sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | CA La Paz | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 7 |
| 12 | CA La Paz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy