Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz: result 0-1 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 14Kick-off on November 1, 2025 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
CA La Paz won 0-1 on November 1, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 26′O. MillánCA La Paz
Official lineup for Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Tepatitlán
- 9J. Machado
- 20L. Sámano
- 24U. Cardona
- 18J. Gómez
- 23J. Venegas
- 13M. Aguilar
- 28J. Cerda
- 5Á. Chávez
- 6A. Ruiz
- 22D. Aguilar
- 1G. Gutiérrez
CA La Paz
- 10M. Barragán
- 12O. Millán
- 92D. Álvarez
- 13É. Alaffita
- 25F. Illescas
- 27G. Garcia
- 7I. Vázquez
- 15H. Torres
- 16Yahir Del Aguila
- 28U. Zurita Jimenez
- 33G. Alcalá
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; CA La Paz have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Venados FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Mineros de Zacatecas(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2025 | Irapuato(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 19, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 2-4 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 3-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Tepatitlán wins, 1 draw, 1 CA La Paz win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2025 | Tepatitlán 4-1 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 5, 2024 | CA La Paz 2-5 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 24, 2024 | CA La Paz 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 6, 2023 | Tepatitlán 4-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 15, 2023 | Tepatitlán 3-0 CA La Paz | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 9, 2022 | CA La Paz 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz on Mar 22, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; CA La Paz score 1.8 and concede 2.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.6 | 1.2 | 3 | 11/15 | 9/15 |
| CA La Paz | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (7 points from 15 matches) and CA La Paz sit 1st (30 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CA La Paz | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 18 | 30 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 44 | 7 |
A question about Tepatitlán vs CA La Paz?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy