Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG: result 3-2 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXApertura - 15Kick-off on November 17, 2020 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Leones Negros UDG?
Tepatitlán won 3-2 on November 17, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 38′D. AmadorLeones Negros UDG (pen.)
- 57′J. AnguloTepatitlán
- 64′J. AnguloTepatitlán
- 77′Ángel Abraham Hernández QuinteroLeones Negros UDG
- 90′J. AnguloTepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 14 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 5 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Leones Negros UDG have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Pumas Tabasco(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 8, 2020 | Tlaxcala(away) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 5, 2020 | Cancún(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 28, 2020 | Cimarrones(away) | 0-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 21, 2020 | Atlante FC(home) | 2-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2020 | Correcaminos Uat(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 6, 2020 | Dorados(away) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 1, 2020 | Venados FC(away) | 1-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 29, 2020 | Monarcas(home) | 0-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Oct 22, 2020 | Cancún(home) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 14; Leones Negros UDG score 1.1 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.2 | 0.9 | 5 | 5/14 | 4/14 |
| Leones Negros UDG | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 14 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and Leones Negros UDG sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leones Negros UDG | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 12 |
| 5 | Leones Negros UDG | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy