Tepatitlán vs Tapatío: result 1-0 and analysis
Liga de Expansión MXClausura - 6Kick-off on February 15, 2025 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Gregorio Tepa Gómez, Tepatitlán de Morelos
Full time
What was the result of Tepatitlán vs Tapatío?
Tepatitlán won 1-0 on February 15, 2025.
Goalscorers
- 57′A. EscotoTepatitlán
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tepatitlán have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Tapatío have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Atlante FC(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Tlaxcala(away) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Cancún(home) | 1-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Venados FC(home) | 2-2 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2025 | Dorados(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Feb 1, 2025 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca(away) | 3-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 26, 2025 | CDS Tampico Madero(away) | 0-1 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 18, 2025 | Monarcas(home) | 1-0 | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Jan 12, 2025 | Leones Negros UDG(home) | 2-3 | Liga de Expansión MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Tepatitlán win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Tapatío win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2024 | Tapatío 1-1 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Nov 8, 2024 | Tepatitlán 1-1 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 1, 2024 | Tapatío 2-0 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 23, 2024 | Tepatitlán 0-4 Tapatío | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Sep 25, 2023 | Tapatío 2-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
| Mar 26, 2023 | Tapatío 0-2 Tepatitlán | Liga de Expansión MX |
Last archived meeting: Tapatío vs Tepatitlán on Nov 11, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Tepatitlán score 1.8 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tapatío score 1.6 and concede 1.2.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepatitlán | 1.8 | 1.3 | 2 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Tapatío | 1.6 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tepatitlán sit 16th in Liga de Expansión MX (0 points from 4 matches) and Tapatío sit 11th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tapatío | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | Tapatío | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Tepatitlán | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 3 |
| 16 | Tepatitlán | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy