Terengganu vs Penang: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 3Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium, Kuala Terengganu
The Footlab model makes Terengganu the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Penang. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Terengganu vs Penang?
Terengganu starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (1,636 vs 1,497).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Terengganu have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Penang have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Melaka(home) | 3-0 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | Sabah FA(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Imigresen(home) | 1-3 | Super League |
| May 1, 2026 | Kuching FA(away) | 1-2 | Super League |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Negeri Sembilan(home) | 2-2 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 0-1 | Super League |
| May 15, 2026 | DPMM FC Brunei(home) | 2-1 | Super League |
| May 8, 2026 | Pdrm(away) | 1-1 | Super League |
| May 2, 2026 | Selangor(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Sabah FA(home) | 0-0 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Terengganu win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Penang win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | Terengganu 0-2 Penang | Super League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Penang 0-3 Terengganu | Super League |
| Nov 1, 2024 | Terengganu 1-0 Penang | Super League |
| May 19, 2024 | Penang 0-0 Terengganu | Super League |
| Dec 3, 2023 | Penang 1-1 Terengganu | Super League |
| May 24, 2023 | Terengganu 1-0 Penang | Super League |
How many goals should we expect?
Terengganu score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Penang score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terengganu | 1.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Penang | 0.9 | 1.2 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Terengganu sit 2nd in Super League (3 points from 1 matches) and Penang sit 10th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Terengganu | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Penang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Terengganu vs Penang?
- The Footlab model makes Terengganu the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Penang.
- Where and when is Terengganu vs Penang played?
- Terengganu vs Penang is played on September 5, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Sultan Mizan Zainal Abidin Stadium, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.