Tersana vs Kahraba Ismailia: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 8Kick-off on October 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Mit Okba Stadium, Giza
The Footlab model makes Kahraba Ismailia the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tersana. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tersana vs Kahraba Ismailia?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Tersana (1,677) and Kahraba Ismailia (1,754).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tersana have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Kahraba Ismailia have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | El Seka El Hadid(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| May 14, 2026 | El Entag EL Harby(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 7, 2026 | Abu Qair Semad(home) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Apr 30, 2026 | Tanta SC(away) | 2-2 | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2026 | Asyut Petrol(home) | 3-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | La Viena FC(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| May 29, 2026 | Masr(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| May 23, 2026 | El Mokawloon(home) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| May 18, 2026 | Haras El Hodood(home) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| May 12, 2026 | El Gouna FC(away) | 1-0 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Tersana win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Kahraba Ismailia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2025 | Kahraba Ismailia 2-1 Tersana | Second League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Tersana 2-1 Kahraba Ismailia | Second League |
| Mar 17, 2023 | Kahraba Ismailia 0-1 Tersana | Second League - Group B |
| Nov 25, 2022 | Tersana 1-0 Kahraba Ismailia | Second League - Group B |
Last archived meeting: Kahraba Ismailia vs Tersana on Apr 15, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Tersana score 1.1 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Kahraba Ismailia score 1.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tersana | 1.1 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Kahraba Ismailia | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tersana sit 6th in Second League (3 points from 1 matches) and Kahraba Ismailia sit 10th (1 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Tersana | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Kahraba Ismailia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tersana vs Kahraba Ismailia?
- The Footlab model makes Kahraba Ismailia the favourite at 36%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Tersana.
- Where and when is Tersana vs Kahraba Ismailia played?
- Tersana vs Kahraba Ismailia is played on October 8, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Mit Okba Stadium, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.