Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma: prediction and stats
Oberliga - HamburgHamburg - 25Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, Hamburg
The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Teutonia Ottensen. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma?
Paloma starts as the favourite with a 177-point Elo edge (1,907 vs 1,731).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Teutonia Ottensen have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Paloma have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Altona 93(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 31, 2026 | ETSV Hamburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Concordia(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 12, 2026 | Buchholz(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Pinneberg(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Victoria Hamburg(away) | 5-1 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Vorwärts-Wacker 04(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Jul 24, 2026 | HT16(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| May 15, 2026 | Türkiye(away) | 6-0 | Oberliga - Hamburg |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Teutonia Ottensen win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Paloma win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Teutonia Ottensen 0-2 Paloma | Oberliga - Hamburg |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Paloma 3-0 Teutonia Ottensen | Oberliga - Hamburg |
Last archived meeting: Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Teutonia Ottensen score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Paloma score 2.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 77% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teutonia Ottensen | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Paloma | 2.7 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Teutonia Ottensen sit 7th in Oberliga - Hamburg (52 points from 34 matches) and Paloma sit 5th (61 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Paloma | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 84 | 50 | 61 |
| 7 | Teutonia Ottensen | 34 | 17 | 1 | 16 | 57 | 66 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma?
- The Footlab model makes Paloma the favourite at 63%, against 18% for a draw and 19% for Teutonia Ottensen.
- Where and when is Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma played?
- Teutonia Ottensen vs Paloma is played on March 6, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Gottfried-Tönsfeld Sportplatz, in the Oberliga - Hamburg.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 77% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.