Thisted FC vs Næsby: result 4-2 and analysis
2. DivisionGroup 1 - 7Kick-off on October 11, 2020 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Sparekassen Thy Arena, Thisted
Full time
What was the result of Thisted FC vs Næsby?
Thisted FC won 4-2 on October 11, 2020.
Goalscorers
- 46′Mikkel Ørbech Ålkjær MikkelsenNæsby
- 58′A. BustThisted FC
- 72′D. YaoThisted FC
- 75′D. YaoThisted FC
- 89′?Thisted FC
- 90′?Næsby
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thisted FC have 5 wins, 1 draws and 9 defeats; Næsby have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2020 | Jammerbugt(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 27, 2020 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 20, 2020 | B 93(home) | 0-1 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2020 | SfB-Oure(away) | 4-0 | 2. Division |
| Sep 5, 2020 | Brabrand(away) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 7, 2020 | AC Horsens(home) | 0-3 | DBU Pokalen |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Holbæk B&I(home) | 2-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 26, 2020 | Middelfart(away) | 0-5 | 2. Division |
| Sep 20, 2020 | Sydvest(home) | 0-2 | 2. Division |
| Sep 12, 2020 | Aarhus Fremad(home) | 1-2 | 2. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Thisted FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Næsby win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2019 | Næsby 1-1 Thisted FC | 2nd Division - Group 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thisted FC score 1.2 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Næsby score 1.5 and concede 1.8.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thisted FC | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Næsby | 1.5 | 1.8 | 3 | 8/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Thisted FC | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy