Thiva vs Asteras Stavros: prediction and stats
Gamma Ethniki - Group 5Group 5 - 11Kick-off on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Thivas, Thebes
The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Asteras Stavros. The most likely score is 1-1. If Thiva wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Thiva vs Asteras Stavros?
On Elo ratings, Thiva has 1,424 points and Asteras Stavros 1,537.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Thiva vs Asteras Stavros
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Thiva
Not enough data to predict the Thiva lineup.
Asteras Stavros
Not enough data to predict the Asteras Stavros lineup.
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 06:54 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Thiva have 1 win, 3 draws and 11 defeats; Asteras Stavros have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(away) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Kifissos(home) | 1-4 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Fokikos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Agios Nikolaos(home) | 0-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Apr 16, 2025 | Nea Ionia(away) | 0-6 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Karystos(away) | 0-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Diagoras Agias(home) | 0-1 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Kifissos(away) | 1-3 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 |
| Apr 8, 2026 | Elassona(away) | 1-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Tilikratis(home) | 2-2 | Gamma Ethniki - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Thiva score 1.0 and concede 2.4 goals per match over their last 15; Asteras Stavros score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiva | 1.0 | 2.4 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Asteras Stavros | 0.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Thiva sit 11th in Gamma Ethniki - Group 5 (0 points from 2 matches) and Asteras Stavros sit 10th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Asteras Stavros | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 | Thiva | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 0 |
A question about Thiva vs Asteras Stavros?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Thiva vs Asteras Stavros?
- The Footlab AI model makes Thiva the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 35% for Asteras Stavros.
- Where and when is Thiva vs Asteras Stavros played?
- Thiva vs Asteras Stavros is played on December 2, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Thivas, in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 5.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.